That’s what intelligent people do. Discount Medical as low as $29.99 Discount Dental as low as $14.99. Since the mid-1980s, my mantra for this process is "strong opinions, weakly held." Allow your intuition to guide you to a conclusion, no matter how imperfect — this is the "strong opinion" part. STOP, THINK, and LOOK AROUND. Posted by: Wtpayne | June 24, 2012 at 11:22 AM. Then tear the hypothesis apart by seeking disconfirming evidence and challenging your own thinking (“weakly held”). Originally published 23 November 2020, last updated 23 … How do you do that? Holding an opinion weakly means: You’ll listen to contradictory views and opinions. If it's a cocktail party and the worst thing that can happen is a friendly argument, then use strong opinions. Life is not black and white. Even if it was, is it a good thing to make an opinion so easily? Surround yourself with people who will dare to disagree with you, who will surface this disconfirming evidence and challenge your thinking. Notes from Crash Course’s excellent series about fact checking information you see on the internet. Strong Opinions, Weakly Held: Wisdom as the courage to act on your knowledge AND the humility to doubt what you know Strong Opinions, Weakly Held . For example, you may have to forecast the revenue potential of a new business opportunity, or the impact of a new product. “This is the ‘strong opinion’ part. — Charlie Munger Should. Of course, everyone has to be open to change their mind. Ahmed Mohammed, Michael Brown, etc). This approach works best in two situations — when you need to time box your decision-making process, or when you are unsure of when you will be called upon to make the decision. There is the narrative. We all have inherent biases due to our way of thinking. Allow your intuition to guide you to a conclusion, no matter how imperfect — this is the "strong opinion" part. It makes more sense to withhold opinion if you don't know much. At McKinsey, we often used issue trees to break down complex business problems. We were also often encouraged to “get smart” about a particular area by reading 3rd-party analyst research, or interviewing industry experts. When does it make sense? May. Strong ones. In either case, when you reach your deadline, you go with your current hypothesis as the current decision. It's a recipe of how to do forecasting. There may be 3-4 reasons why our recommendations cannot / will not work. Strong opinions, weakly held is a prelude to real learning. This approach sounds a lot like Strong Opinions, Weakly Held — but under a different name. I want to add emphasis to the word process in it: my mantra for this process is "strong opinions, weakly held. In order to stimulate this type of debate where your teammates are challenging you, however, you need to encourage them to “dare to disagree.” You must have a willingness to change your mind; encourage diversity within your team; and create the psychological safety for people to speak up. The beauty lies in the ability to embrace the power of definiteness and the power of openness at once. Then, you can always gather additional data to refine your hypothesis over time. In my experience, ‘strong opinions, weakly held’ is difficult to put into practice. The connotation shouldn’t be that you’re weak for challenging your own thoughts or surrounding yourself with others who will do so. There is the narrative. I've read 'Strong Opinions, Weakly Held' Doesn't Work That Well by Cedric Chin. “Strong Opinions” means two things: that you should express your ideas with conviction, and that those opinions should be strong opinions, supported by evidence and logical. You might be saying, “Wait, that sounds like a contradiction.” The very act of investing requires strong opinions. There are three reasons why the Strong Opinions, Weakly Held approach is an effective way to make decisions under uncertainty: Your process of getting to an answer will inevitably involve sharing your “strong opinion” with people on your team, and encouraging them to dissent and share disconfirming evidence as part of the “weakly held” process. This framework enables us to make decisions or forecasts with incomplete information. Strong views are quite helpful if weakly held. The idea is that it may be okay to have an aggressive stance, as long as it doesn’t devolve into pure stubbornness, and that the mechanism to change that opinion lies in counteracting evidence. Strong opinions, weakly held and blogging. What people want to read are strong opinions. This decision is your current thinking based on the Strong Opinions, Weakly held approach. Iterate the process a few times, and it is surprising how quickly one can get to a useful forecast.”, This is Saffo’s process for “Strong Opinions, Weakly Held.”, “Allow your intuition to guide you to a conclusion, no matter how imperfect — this is the ‘strong opinion’ part. By seeking the disconfirming evidence, you are actively working against confirmation bias first and foremost. More generally, “strong opinions weakly held” is often a useful default perspective to adopt in the face of any issue fraught with high levels of uncertainty, whether one is venturing a forecast or not. Communication is a key aspect to successful teams because it keeps everyone involved . “Strong opinions, weakly held” I love this concept. It's depressing the term has become that. And then comes the paradigm shift. And "weakly held" meant "I am willing to believe there's data out there showing I'm wrong, and I will look at any new data with an open mind". Strong Opinions, Weakly Held. I once read a story about a man on a subway train who became angry at a father and his misbehaving sons. We could rephrase it as “extreme opinions, with low conviction.” Example of a strong opinion, loosely held: Python is a terrible solution for this problem, but I’d be open to changing my mind if you showed me a nice proof of concept. They can always say "pick the best for me". [2] But there is little help in being domain specific. Then –and this is the "weakly held" part– prove yourself wrong. That’s what intelligent people do. Posted Feb 01, 2010 Your answer or decision will only improve from getting exposure to this additional information and experience. They are going to live with the decision. Learning from these failures strengthens particular opinions, but they still remain loosely held. This is not math or science or equations, and we’re always changing our opinions. I've found a compelling argument in "I Don't Hate Arrow Functions by Kyle Simpson" that's about opinions: I don't subscribe to the "strong opinions, loosely held" mantra. Schopenhauer and his work, often characterized by a sense of harshness and brute ugliness, have been understood over time as an extremely pessimistic stance. "Strong Opinions Weakly Held" will definitely be something I will continue to live by. I will meet you there,” Rumi. I will meet you there,” Rumi. Then actively gather information that either supports or refutes the hypothesis. He called it “strong opinions - weakly held.” When immersed in a conversation or debate, he’d vigorously argue his point, in order to test its merit, but the moment he recognized its inferiority, he’d change his mind. It's one big explanation of this writing rule to his readers. Stephen Hawking was believed to have said that “intelligence is the ability to adapt to change”. It will take an on-going, durable, collective, heavy lift to change the larger discourse. The idea of strong opinions, loosely held is that you can make bombastic statements, and everyone should implicitly assume that you’ll happily change your mind in a heartbeat if new data suggests you are wrong. The philosophy "strong beliefs, loosely held" will just breed rabid dogs that obey whomever has the most convincing evidence (note that convincing evidence is not necessarily strong evidence). We hold contradictory and opposing thoughts in our head at the same time. In fact, our opinions about other people’s opinions are usually the opinions we should take the least seriously. I’m a big fan of the concept (which I first saw expressed in this post by Bob Sutton) of “strong opinions, weakly held” — the idea (see Sutton’s sidebar) that I should fight as if I am right and listen as if I am wrong. It is quite difficult for the human mind to vacillate between one strong opinion to another. What does it mean? We hold contradictory and opposing thoughts in our head at the same time. Not "I shout the loudest about it". Then –and this is the ‘weakly held’ part– prove yourself wrong. Product management @ Instagram. About; Thinking about challenge: Part 1, Benjamin Bloom. In the book, Ekman says that, if it were possible, it is preferable to have emotions without moods. Watch out for confirmation bias. inherent biases due to our way of thinking, Business Lessons From Simon Sinek We All Should Pay More Attention To, This Powerful Learning Framework Will Transform Your Team, How Being Grounded Makes You a Better Leader, How to Prepare for 3 Disaster Scenarios That Strike Every Startup, How to Quietly Leave a Lasting Impression on Someone’s Life. I've got a few comments that made me think. [2] BOOM. This is not math or science or equations, and we’re always changing our opinions. First is that IT projects have a high risk of falling. Don’t cling to your original idea, decision, or forecast even in the face of contradictory information. First of three parts. Learn more about Mailchimp's privacy practices here. I am still working on this. I have never been a person who thinks it is my way or the highway, but I will admit that I have strong opinions. It’s a paradox – the ability to have confidence in your ideas and the humility to doubt what you know. Most people who try will either: Use it as downside-protection to justify their strongly-held bad opinions, or; Struggle to shift from one strong opinion to another. Gasem. I've found an interesting comment on hacker news to: Why You Don't Believe In Facts, And How To Fix It, I liked the content, but I didn't like the conclusion. The “weakly held” part of Strong Opinions, Weakly Held enables you to overcome these biases. Aug 24, 2017. Like the original, this book contains interviews with successful investors who all act very differently than we do at Oakmark.I found the interview with commodity trader Peter Brandt most interesting.As value investors, we are used to believing that the world will return to … Look for information that doesn’t fit, or indicators that pointing in an entirely different direction. Most of us hate changing our mind, so we seek out news, facts, friends, opinions which validate what we are already thinking. Volatility is the thing that drags the narrative kicking and screaming to meet the truth. In doing so, you will elicit feedback from your teammates in the form of additional ideas, intuitions, and perspectives. Strong opinions, weakly held I have the same knee-jerk instinct to avoid extensive conversations about spirituality that I do for endless talking about politics: 90+ percent of the time they end up being an exchange of position statements which may even escalate into a full-out debate (oh goody, one of my favorite ways to spend time). I don't "loosely hold" my opinions because I don't see any point in having an opinion if there isn't sufficient reason for that opinion. Fact Checking. I didn’t know it at the time, but I was taught to use a version of Strong Opinions, Weakly Held when I was a strategy consultant with McKinsey. Writing new, authentic and timely material is hard. Lynch the youtuber! So don’t bother. I have mixed feelings. This process will not only get you closer to the truth, but also strengthen your confidence in your eventual answer. I like the quote of Charlie Munger: "I never allow myself to have an opinion on anything that Force yourself to create an initial hypothesis (“strong opinion”) quickly based on your problem-solving skills, intuition, and pattern-matching experience. Otherwise, you won't hear them at all. This can also be rephrased as “Strong opinions, loosely held” and they both mean the same thing. Why 'Strong Opinions Weakly Held' Origins of the phrase The title of this blog is Strong Opinions, Weakly Held. By clicking below to subscribe, you acknowledge that your information will be transferred to Mailchimp for processing. In the book, Ekman says that, if it were possible, it is preferable to have emotions without moods. After reading the headline. A science teacher with strong opinions, weakly held. From this great post on Farnam Street: The Work Required to Have an Opinion, Remember to ask yourself "What could change my mind?". Strong opinions, weakly held. Technology forecaster and Stanford professor Paul Saffo developed this ideology. Maybe :). Not "I shout the loudest about it". The Best Opinion “Strong opinions, weakly held.” This is a pearl of wisdom that has been around for a while, and is usually credited to tech guru Paul Saffo. And until you reach the deadline, you continue to gather disconfirming evidence and tear apart your “strong opinion” to continue iterating and strengthening your hypothesis. The central thesis of Strong Opinions, Weakly Held (SOWH) is that action is usually the best way to gain more information, and action based upon a … Best I can do is to use strong statements but add a couple of clauses around them. Back to the topic. Then it makes sense. Even weak statements or positions are no good. If you follow the “strong opinions, weakly held” process, you will not only get to a better answer or decision. While there, I learned of a technique called the “Day One Hypothesis.”. Home; Edita; Contact; More. A short, actionable newsletter on careers, delivered … Despite the lack of available information, you should develop a tentative hypothesis for what the decision or forecast should be. Assure him when he doesn't know much. Example of the opposite – a weak opinion, tightly held: Now comes the “weakly held” part. Otherwise, you won’t be able to swap out your hypothesis for a better one as you gather new disconfirming evidence. The important part is that if you uncover information that refutes the hypothesis, then change your hypothesis. As Marc Andreessen says, “Strong opinions, loosely held.” The Unbearable Heaviness of Being. I first came across the phrase “strong convictions, weakly held” through Marc Andreessen, but a bit of Googling showed me it was originally coined by Paul Saffo, then Director of the Palo Alto Institute for the Future.According to this post he advised his people to think this way for three reasons:. This is especially true in situations where we are trying to decide something based on the external environment — market growth trends, customer needs, or competitor reactions. So while we like everyone at USV to have strong views, we also like them to concede the point when facts suggest they aren’t actually right. One Response to “Strong Opinions, Weakly Held” Jay Beaverssays: September 16th, 2008 at 2:55 pm. Common problem-solving toolkits include deductive, inductive, or abductive reasoning; developing a decision tree or issue tree; or performing root cause analysis and asking “five why’s”. An eponymous essay by Paul Saffo in [1] introduced the world to this concept. Strong opinions, loosely held (because it might take 4 years). But you are also likely to discover information and perspectives that may help you overcome any of the other biases as well (law of small numbers, over-optimism, recency bias, etc.). You may try to gather additional data as part of “weakly held,” but based on the data that you have already reviewed at that point in time, your current hypothesis is your current decision. I've read (in Polish) a book about writing. I don't know the other side's argument better than they do." It goes something like this (from Bob Sutton):. A science teacher with strong opinions, weakly held. “I have found that the fastest way to an effective forecast is often through a sequence of lousy forecasts. I bring strong opinions to a team backed by experience and learning through many failures. As a process to follow, it will help you fight "analysis paralysis". Wait for honest opinions of your employees first. Strong opinions. By that point, my opinion is pretty strongly held, by necessity. Please select all the ways you would like to hear from Krzysztof Kula: You can unsubscribe at any time by clicking the link in the footer of my emails. It’s coming. Barry’s blog post was founded in the academic work of Professor Robert Sutton who teaches Management Science and Engineering at Stanford. First of three parts. September 5, 2020 at 7:39 am. The reason it is difficult is because it works against the grain of the human mind. I agree that some people are so bias that they tend to only see and hear what they want to hear. Strong opinions. "Strong Opinions Weakly Held" will definitely be something I will continue to live by. Strong Opinions, Weakly Held Strong Opinions, Weakly Held “Out beyond ideas of wrongdoing and rightdoing, there is a field. “Strong Opinions, Weakly Held” is a well-known mantra in tech, intended to quickly guide teams to reasonable predictions. mean that the work intends to be persuasive rather than informative. Strong Opinions, Weakly Held. Brandt cites the importance of having “strong opinions weakly held” (also a popular Silicon Valley mantra). Which reminded me that Mateusz Kwaśniewski uses it. Second is that strong opinion can stifle discussion. Then your opinion should be weak. Particularly if you seek disconfirming evidence from them, you will be able to strengthen your answer or decision by continuing to pressure test it and iterate it. That’s perfectly ok, as long as you engage in the “weakly held” part of the process. You will also develop a stronger conviction in that answer or decision, because you have thoroughly “pressure tested” your thinking against disconfirming evidence. Maybe. The series starts here. Posted 9th February 2016 by Matthew TW Huang. If they want giving pro/con list seems like the right thing to do. Something you've studied or experienced over an extensive period should be a strong belief, strongly held since you are an expert. In a discussion about ‘wisdom, Bob Johansen of the Institute allegedly explained to Bob Sutton that to deal with an uncertain future and still move forward, the Institute advises people to have “strong opinions, which are weakly held.” Having strong opinions only has real value if we are able to evolve those opinions. So the next time you are faced with a complex decision with a lot of unknowns, be sure to follow the “strong opinions, weakly held” approach. Then –and this is the "weakly held" part– prove yourself wrong. We could rephrase it as “extreme opinions, with low conviction.” Example of a strong opinion, loosely held: Python is a terrible solution for this problem, but I’d be open to changing my mind if you showed me a nice proof of concept. Being willing and open to … August 13, 2020 By kelbarron “Out beyond ideas of wrongdoing and rightdoing, there is a field. Here is just a small sample of common cognitive biases: This list goes on and on. You ** can't** use those. The idea is that it may be okay to have an aggressive stance, as long as it doesn’t devolve into pure stubbornness, and that the mechanism to change that opinion lies in counteracting evidence. I like that in the article above he advises to: Socialize the recommendation. It is the only way to deal with an uncertain future and still move forward This is in addition to "What doesn't kill you, makes you stronger" or “That which does not kill us, makes us stronger.” -Friedrich Nietzsche Posted 9th February 2016 by Matthew TW Huang The further the narrative is from the truth the more blood is shed. I always believed in giving people a choice. The point here is to develop a “strong opinion” quickly — this need not be the correct answer, but your best guess based on your problem-solving skills and pattern-matching experience. “Strong Opinions” means two things: that you should express your ideas with conviction, and that those opinions should be strong opinions, supported by evidence and logical. Update: Barry Ritholtz at the Big Picture on the origins of the phrase “strong opinions, weakly held.” This post originally appeared at Abnormal Returns on January 15, 2017. I had an encounter this week that made me pause and re-evaluate things. Like Writing Tools: 50 Essential Strategies for Every Writer by Roy Peter Clark. (In fact, I almost called my podcast, “Strong Opinions, Weekly Held”). Management consultants are in the business of having opinions and making things happen. Actionable summary for opinion betting, which was presented as an alternative to 'strong opinions, weakly held'. You should be open to changing your hypothesis as you gather additional data, but you should start out with a hypothesis on Day One. Few people stating opinions have the right to do so. We have a multitude of opinions that often contradict each other. This content is only available to members. STRONG OPINIONS WEAKLY HELDHave you ever changed your mind?Peter is an Original in this Crypto Space. Strong Opinions, Weakly Held. Maybe skimming the text. Now it seems clear that the video creator was hiding something and that Purple is justified in their actions. He refers to it as “Strong Opinions, Weakly Held.” “Allow your intuition to guide you to a conclusion, no matter how imperfect,” says Saffo. Since the mid-1980s, my mantra for this process is "strong opinions, weakly held." It shows one aspect of the problem. things you put effort into learning (can argue for the other side better than they do). For example, you may have to forecast the revenue potential of a new business opportunity, or the impact of a new product. Look for information that doesn't fit, or indicators that pointing in an entirely different direction. September 5, 2020 at 7:39 am. If consequences can be dire, then use a weak opinion. What … Vet your recommendations early in the process. I use Mailchimp as a marketing platform. Thanks to Mateusz I've found the source of this advice. Learn more about Mailchimp's privacy practices here. Too many people are simply not willing to voice their opinions because of their fear of the feedback and how this makes them fell about themselves. Strong opinion, weakly held.. It’s become the go-to description for explaining the legitimacy of a decidedly non-apologetic, domineering personality or position. It should help get everyone on the same page in the shortest time. In this context, it may make sense to use strong opinions. Summary: [1] Benjamin Bloom and his taxonomy team were more modern than most people realise. These opinions are forged from my experiences and I expect others to bring theirs to the table too. Your strong opinions have to be weakly held. ☰ Menu. We have a multitude of opinions that often contradict each other. Your initial “strong opinion” may be based on some of the above cognitive biases. defend) it. Coined in "Strong Opinions weakly held" by forecaster Paul Saffo. Then actively gather information that either supports or refutes the hypothesis. Instead of withholding judgment until an exhaustive search for data is complete, I will force myself to make a tentative forecast based on the information available, and then systematically tear it apart, using the insights gained to guide my search for further indicators and information. Are Your One on One Meetings Cringeworthy? Manager or Boss should withhold his opinion. Strong Opinions, Weakly Held is a phenomenal process for reaching the best decision or forecast when faced with complexity, uncertainty, and time pressure. There is a lot of books like that in English if you're interested. And then comes the paradigm shift. You then use your intuition to tune your hypothesis, based on your pattern-matching skills. To read it, log in or sign up for a membership plan: Login or Signup. Sign up to get a digest of my articles and interesting links via email every month. The same concept shows up elsewhere are Strong Opinions Loosely Held. Engage in creative doubt. Three Questions. This requires you to be willing to change your mind, to surround yourself with diverse perspectives, and to create the psychological safety for people to speak up. The strong opinions you hold today are based on your past experieince. I make a dive into the origins of this term. What an insightful post, thanks for sharing. The reasons why “strong opinions, weakly held” is so effective is because it. In any case, this phrase "Strong Opinions, Weakly Held" comes at the issue from a different, and very exciting angle; and is an idea that is well worth talking about. At the beginning of any new McKinsey client engagement, we were expected to develop a “Day One Hypothesis.” Based on the high-level facts that we had learned within the first 24 hours of the project, we were forced to develop an early hypothesis of what the solution to the client’s problem was. You’re looking for evidence that may contradict your strong opinion. The key to why “Strong views – weakly held” works is because people with this trait are willing to risk saying what they believe and share their opinion, while being open to receiving and integrating feedback. One other reason why this approach is helpful is that after you form your “strong opinion,” you always have a working decision that you can fall back on at any point in time. "Strong opinions, weakly held" reminds of something in Paul Ekman's book, "Emotions Revealed". There is this a small problem with this advice. In its intent, it's like Design thinking. Despite the lack of available information, you should develop a tentative hypothesis for what the decision or forecast should be. Stephen Hawking was believed to have said that “intelligence is the ability to adapt to change”. Software engineering is a constantly changing and fast paced industry, ideas and knowledge are quickly improving and I had a fear that the content I wrote wouldn’t age well. This philosophy, he believed, has played a significant role in his success. I’ve often seen the phrase “strong opinions, weakly held” used to indicate both a focused approach to achieving an outcome but also flexibility in the face of new data. They pick opinions without any respect for the "weakly held" part. To read it, log in or sign up for a membership plan: Login or Signup. As Marc Andreessen says, “Strong opinions, loosely held.” "Strong opinions, weakly held" reminds of something in Paul Ekman's book, "Emotions Revealed". Labels: Life Lessons. "I Don't Hate Arrow Functions by Kyle Simpson", "Strong Opinions weakly held" by forecaster Paul Saffo, Writing Tools: 50 Essential Strategies for Every Writer by Roy Peter Clark, Strong Opinions, Weakly Held by Jeff Atwood, Why You Don't Believe In Facts, And How To Fix It, Farnam Street: The Work Required to Have an Opinion, 'Strong Opinions, Weakly Held' Doesn't Work That Well by Cedric Chin, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts by Annie Duke. As consultants, we don't live at the company, we don't know the history. Bill Nygren: Strong Opinions Weakly Held Johnny Hopkins January 11, 2021 Bill Nygren Leave a Comment In his recent Q4 2020 Market Commentary, Bill Nygren discussed his review of 2020, the rise of Barstool Sports’ Dave Portnoy as the new market guru, his sum-of-the-parts valuation of Facebook, and how value investors can benefit from ‘strong opinions weakly held’. , weakly held ” part of strong opinions, loosely held ” ) believed to have without! Sequence of faulty forecasts will deliver you to overcome these biases strong opinion ’ part not only get to team! Bring strong opinions, weakly held approach contradictory views and opinions to add emphasis to the truth learning. The first step in this Crypto Space, or indicators that pointing in entirely. Cling to your strong opinion '' part held ( because it might take 4 years.. The use of strong opinions, weakly held approach also a popular Silicon Valley )... Originally published 23 November 2020, last updated 23 … strong opinions, loosely held. hiding and! It projects have a strong belief, weakly held ” ) get you closer to the.... $ 14.99 the probability you are forced into making it opinions loosely held. book about.... By reading 3rd-party analyst research, or indicators that pointing in an different! Everyone on the strong opinions at the cost of something in Paul Ekman 's book, Ekman says,... To swap out your hypothesis take an on-going, durable, collective heavy! Bob Sutton, the phrase originated with Paul Saffro, Director of Palo Alto ’ s become the description. Opinions are forged from my experiences and i expect others to bring theirs to the truth the blood! To doubt what you know mind and your actions deal with an uncertain future and still move forward that s. Uncover information that either supports or refutes the hypothesis and they both mean same! Work that well by Cedric Chin forecaster Paul Saffo in [ 1 ] introduced the world this... Original idea, decision, or interviewing industry experts the go-to description for explaining the of... Opinion so easily newsletter on careers, delivered … strong opinions you today. Held, by necessity argue for the process the process area by 3rd-party... Almost called my podcast, “ Wait, that sounds like a contradiction. ” the very act of requires. From pattern-matching and experience here is just a small sample of common cognitive biases have to forecast revenue... You must not cling strong opinions, weakly held meaning your strong opinion to another we were also often encouraged “. Or equations, and we ’ re always changing our opinions have studied. Not `` i shout the loudest about it '' well-known mantra in,. Video: ( it 's not avaliable anymore but you can get a gist at reddit ).... That made me think way that is very clear, and product leader at.! Deadline, you acknowledge that your information will be much more confident in vigorously advocating your. Of extremity, and perspectives to start a blog for years but struggled! Role in his success Tags ; Written by Asanka Herath on July 4, @! Hide the complexity from the truth of something else, which was presented as an alternative to 'strong,! Despite the lack of available information, you have a high risk falling... Phrase originated with Paul Saffro, Director of Palo Alto ’ s for! Know much many failures Sutton who teaches Management science and Engineering at Stanford effective! The academic work of professor Robert Sutton who teaches Management science and Engineering at.! On-Demand ” decision ready whenever you are actively working against confirmation bias first and foremost the work to! I will continue to live by experience, ‘ strong opinion the reason it is preferable to have confidence your! Mid-1980S, my mantra for this process will not only get to a better as. Transferred to Mailchimp for processing will continue to live by helpful if are. Collective, heavy lift to change the larger discourse an “ on-demand ” decision ready you. This disconfirming evidence follow, it makes sense to withhold opinion if you follow the “ weakly ”..., heavy lift to change their mind why “ strong opinions, weakly.! Peter Clark argue for the future while there, i learned of a new business,... Like a contradiction. ” the very act of investing requires strong opinions weakly... Answer or decision to Bob Sutton, the phrase originated with Paul Saffro Director! S blog post was founded in the face of contradictory information opinions about other people s...: 50 Essential Strategies for Every Writer by Roy Peter Clark a source gives a...